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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 1 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 1 May 2023. Cracovia Krakow vs Miedz Legnica (Cracovia Krakow or draw) sits top on 88% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 88%
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France Sochaux or draw 82%
Sochaux
0 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 80%
Derry City
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Como or draw 79%
Como
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 79%
Bohemians
5 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 79%
Frosinone
3 : 1 FT
Reggina
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 77%
Sevilla
0 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin or draw 77%
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#9 Championship Β· England Luton or draw 76%
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Luton Clean Sheet 54%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 75%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden Trelleborg or draw 75%
Trelleborg
3 : 4 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 1 May 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Cracovia Krakow vs Miedz Legnica (Cracovia Krakow or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.