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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 7 January 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 7 January 2023. Leyton Orient vs Doncaster (Leyton Orient or draw) sits top on 90% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 83%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 82%

La Liga · Spain Mallorca or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 80%

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 80%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 80%

League Two · England Northampton or draw 79%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 79%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%

#11

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#12

League Two · England Harrogate Town or draw 78%

#13

League One · England Morecambe or draw 78%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#14

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 77%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

#15

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 77%

#16

League Two · England Newport County or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#18

League One · England Charlton or draw 76%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece Levadiakos or draw 76%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 January 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs Doncaster (Leyton Orient or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.