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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 4 December 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Wuhan Zall vs Changchun Yatai (Changchun Yatai or draw) at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 83%
Wuhan Zall
1 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 17%
Draw 18%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 83%
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 4 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 82%
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 79%
Brescia
0 : 2 FT
Reggina
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Spal or draw 77%
Spal
2 : 3 FT
Modena
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 76%
Dender
2 : 3 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 4 December 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Zall vs Changchun Yatai (Changchun Yatai or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.