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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 2 October 2022

Thu 29 Fri 30 Sat 1 Sun 2 Mon 3 Tue 4 Wed 5

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 2 October 2022. Manchester City vs Manchester United (Manchester City or draw) led the list at 91% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 86%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 85%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Teplice or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Serie A · Italy Sampdoria or draw 85%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 84%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1 : 1 FT

Eintracht Braunschweig

Win 65%

Draw 20%

Win 16%

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#10

Primera División · Chile Curico Unido or draw 84%

#11

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 84%

#12

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 84%

#13

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Super League · Switzerland FC Sion or draw 83%

#15

Premier League · Russia Fakel or draw 82%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 81%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 81%

#18

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%

#19

Eredivisie · Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 80%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%

#20

Eredivisie · Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 2 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Manchester United (Manchester City or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.