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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 24 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Wuhan Three Towns vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Wuhan Three Towns or draw) at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 93%
Wuhan Three Towns
3 : 4 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 87%
Peterborough
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 86%
Bradford
2 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#4 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 86%
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Stevenage or draw 78%
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 78%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 1 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 League Two Β· England Hartlepool or draw 78%
Hartlepool
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#8 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 76%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 4 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 League Two Β· England Colchester or draw 76%
Colchester
0 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 76%
Sutton Utd
1 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 September 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. (Wuhan Three Towns or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.