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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 August 2022

Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Fluminense vs Coritiba (Fluminense or draw) at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Charlton or draw 87%

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · Russia Khimki or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 85%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

K League 1 · South-Korea Jeju United FC or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 83%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

#10

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#11

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 83%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Wisla Plock or draw 82%

#13

Premier League · England Leicester or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#14

League One · England Exeter City or draw 82%

#15

League One · England Oxford United or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%

#16

League One · England Barnsley or draw 82%

#17

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 81%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%

#19

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 81%

Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%

#20

League One · England Bolton or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Coritiba (Fluminense or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.