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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 July 2022

Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Djurgardens IF vs IFK Varnamo (Djurgardens IF or draw) at 93% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 93%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 89%

Primera División · Chile Palestino or draw 89%

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 84%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 83%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

Primera División · Chile Cobresal or draw 81%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Sandefjord or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

K League 1 · South-Korea Suwon City FC or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

#11

Veikkausliiga · Finland VPS or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Sandhausen or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

Superettan · Sweden Dalkurd FF or draw 76%

#15

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 76%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Superettan · Sweden IK brage or draw 75%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 July 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs IFK Varnamo (Djurgardens IF or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.