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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 18 January 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 18 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sutton Utd vs Colchester (Sutton Utd or draw) at 89% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 89%
Sutton Utd
3 : 2 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%
Seraing United
0 : 4 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 12%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 87%
Fulham
6 : 2 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 League One Β· England Wigan or draw 85%
Morecambe
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 15%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 League Two Β· England Carlisle or draw 82%
Carlisle
0 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 82%
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#7 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 80%
Cambridge United
3 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 79%
Real Betis
4 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 18 January 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Sutton Utd vs Colchester (Sutton Utd or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.