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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 6 August 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 August 2021. FC UFA vs Lokomotiv (Lokomotiv or draw) led the list at 84% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 84%
FC UFA v Lokomotiv prediction
Win 16%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 81%
Sport Recife v RB Bragantino prediction
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 79%
Dalian Aerbin v SHANGHAI SIPG prediction
Win 21%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Super League Β· China Hebei Zhongji or draw 77%
Hebei Zhongji v Beijing Guoan prediction
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 77%
Club Brugge KV v Cercle Brugge prediction
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 6 August 2021?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by FC UFA vs Lokomotiv (Lokomotiv or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.