Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Sigma Olomouc's attacking strength (0.97x league average) is weighed against Slavia Praha's defensive record (0.55x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.78. Flip it around — Slavia Praha's attack (1.36x) against Sigma Olomouc's defence (1.30x) — and the away total comes out at 2.12.
These ratings are built from 47/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-2, at 12.4%. Close behind: 0-1 (10.5%), 1-1 (10.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Slavia Praha Win
11%
8.90
22%
4.59
67%
1.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
12.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
11.7%
Away win
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.78
Sigma Olomouc xG
Total xG
2.90
2.12
Slavia Praha xG
8.90
11%
Home win
4.59
22%
Draw
1.49
67%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.04
51%
BTTS No
1.96
Clean Sheet
12%
8.32
46%
2.18
Win to Nil
1%
74.05
31%
3.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 11.7 | 12.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 | 4.3 | 9.1 | 9.6 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha?
Our Poisson model rates 0-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.4%.
How many goals are Sigma Olomouc and Slavia Praha expected to score?
The model projects 0.78 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.12 for Slavia Praha, a combined total of 2.90.
How confident is the prediction model for Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 67%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.