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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sigma Olomouc cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Pardubice.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sigma Olomouc beat Pardubice 2-0 at Andruv stadion, Regular Season - 15, in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sigma Olomouc 1.38 xG and Pardubice 0.72 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sigma Olomouc attack 0.92 / defence 0.60 against Pardubice attack 1.01 / defence 1.22, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sigma Olomouc 50% | Draw 33% | Pardubice 17%, with Sigma Olomouc to win its most likely call at 50%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sigma Olomouc 55%, Pardubice 45%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sigma Olomouc's trading profile (49 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Pardubice's trading profile (49 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Sigma Olomouc arrived the stronger side — 1.39 PPG against 0.82. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sigma Olomouc (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights