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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Czech Liga · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadion Arnosta Kostala

Competition

Czech Liga

Czech-Republic

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pardubice Win

41%

Pardubice

2.41

27%

Draw

3.69

31%

Karviná

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Pardubice xG

Total xG

2.78

1.28

Karviná xG

41%
27%
31%
PardubiceDrawKarviná

2.41

41%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

28%

Pardubice

3.60

22%

Karviná

4.49

Win to Nil

12%

Pardubice

8.67

7%

Karviná

14.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.3 11.9 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.9 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 2.781
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.200
Pardubice attack strength 0.984
Pardubice defence strength 1.038
Karviná attack strength 1.027
Karviná defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60