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Pardubice cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Chrudim.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Pardubice beat Chrudim 2-0 at CFIG Arena, Relegation Round, in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Pardubice 1.24 xG and Chrudim 1.02 xG, a combined 2.26. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Chrudim landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Pardubice attack 0.79 / defence 1.00 against Chrudim attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 60/0 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Pardubice 41% | Draw 29% | Chrudim 30%, with Pardubice to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.