🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Hradec Králové's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Malsovicka arena, Regular Season - 23, as Hradec Králové and Zlin drew 0-0 in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hradec Králové 1.66 xG and Zlin 0.64 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Hradec Králové fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hradec Králové attack 1.19 / defence 0.79 against Zlin attack 0.68 / defence 1.02, drawn from 52/22 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hradec Králové 61% | Draw 26% | Zlin 13%, with Hradec Králové to win its most likely call at 61%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hradec Králové 50%, Zlin 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Hradec Králové's trading profile (22 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Zlin's trading profile (22 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Hradec Králové 1.36 PPG, Zlin 1.23 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Hradec Králové (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.70 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line. Zlin (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights