🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Hradec Králové's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hradec Králové and Teplice finished level at 0-0 at Malsovicka arena, Regular Season - 13, in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hradec Králové 1.55 xG and Teplice 1.21 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Hradec Králové fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Teplice landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hradec Králové attack 1.08 / defence 1.07 against Teplice attack 0.98 / defence 1.21, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hradec Králové 42% | Draw 32% | Teplice 26%, with Hradec Králové to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hradec Králové 44%, Teplice 48%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Hradec Králové's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Teplice's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Hradec Králové 1.41 PPG, Teplice 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Hradec Králové (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.23 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.91 average — tighter than their form line. Teplice (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.95 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights