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Stalemate at Bohemians 1905's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bohemians 1905 and Slovan Liberec finished level at 0-0 at Dolicek, Regular Season - 25, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bohemians 1905 0.93 xG and Slovan Liberec 1.40 xG, a combined 2.33. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Bohemians 1905 fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Slovan Liberec landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bohemians 1905 attack 0.73 / defence 1.11 against Slovan Liberec attack 1.17 / defence 0.96, drawn from 54/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bohemians 1905 24% | Draw 28% | Slovan Liberec 47%, with Slovan Liberec to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bohemians 1905 46%, Slovan Liberec 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Bohemians 1905's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Slovan Liberec's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Bohemians 1905 1.12 PPG, Slovan Liberec 1.46 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Bohemians 1905 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.04 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. Slovan Liberec (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.57 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.25 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights