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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Baník Ostrava cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Sigma Olomouc.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Baník Ostrava beat Sigma Olomouc 2-0 at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Regular Season - 21, in the Czech Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Baník Ostrava 1.43 xG and Sigma Olomouc 1.33 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Sigma Olomouc landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Baník Ostrava attack 0.88 / defence 1.16 against Sigma Olomouc attack 0.90 / defence 1.17, drawn from 50/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Baník Ostrava 39% | Draw 26% | Sigma Olomouc 35%, with Baník Ostrava to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Baník Ostrava 44%, Sigma Olomouc 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Baník Ostrava's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Sigma Olomouc's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Baník Ostrava 1.56 PPG, Sigma Olomouc 1.36 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Baník Ostrava win broke the near-deadlock. Baník Ostrava (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line. Sigma Olomouc (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.07 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights