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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Slovácko run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Artis.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Slovácko beat Artis 1-4 at Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska, Relegation - Final, in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Artis 1.37 xG and Slovácko 1.24 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. Slovácko outscored their 1.24 projection by 2.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Artis attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Slovácko attack 0.90 / defence 1.17, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Artis 39% | Draw 28% | Slovácko 33%, with Artis to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Slovácko win had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. Over 3.5 was 26% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights