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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 21 June 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 June 2026. IK brage vs IFK Varnamo led the list at 78% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Superettan supplies five of the top 5, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
5 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
5 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 3 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Norrby IF
0 : 0 FT
United Nordic
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
0 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 June 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs IFK Varnamo at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.