Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 15 April 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Tuesday 15 April 2025. Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng sits top on 77% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
2 : 0 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 5 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 4 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 2 FT
Helsingborg
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 15 April 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Qingdao Youth Island vs Shandong Luneng at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.