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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 29 July 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 29 July 2024. AIK Stockholm vs Gais led the list at 70% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 13%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
0 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 2 FT
Oddevold
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
3 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 29 July 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by AIK Stockholm vs Gais at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.