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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 5 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 5 January 2024. Sporting CP vs Estoril sits top on 67% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 2 FT
Pendikspor
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
5 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 67% Bologna Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 January 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Estoril at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.