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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 30 June 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 June 2023. The strongest reading belongs to St Patrick's Athl. vs UCD at 70% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies five of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
7 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 1 FT
Forge
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 30 June 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs UCD at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.