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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 25 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 25 September 2022. FC Edmonton vs Forge sits top on 51% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Lviv
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
FC Edmonton
1 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 25 September 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Edmonton vs Forge at 51% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.