Correct Score Predictions
Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Thursday 28 April 2022
The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.
The model shortlists four fixtures on Thursday 28 April 2022. Manchester United vs Chelsea led the list at 58% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Eliteserien · Norway
Premier League · England
Showing 4 of 4 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Correct Score — common questions
What does the Correct Score market mean?
Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 28 April 2022?
four fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester United vs Chelsea at 58% most likely scoreline.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these correct score predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.