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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 21 March 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Sunday 21 March 2021. 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 sits top on 55% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 29%
Draw 40%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 37%
Draw 43%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 70% Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 23%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 March 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 at 55% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.