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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 6 February 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 6 February 2021. The strongest reading belongs to SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund at 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 6 February 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.