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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 20 September 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 September 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Viking vs Aalesund at 73% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 25%
Draw 35%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
5 : 2 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 0 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%

Showing 12 of 12 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 20 September 2020?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Aalesund at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.