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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 8 October 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

14 matches clear our threshold on Thursday 8 October 2026. Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo tops the list at 42% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
: 00:30
Sao Paulo
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
: 16:00
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#3 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
: 16:00
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
: 16:00
Al Diriyah
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
: 22:30
Flamengo
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
: 23:00
Atletico-MG
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
: 16:00
NEOM
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
: 16:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
: 16:00
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
: 16:00
AC Oulu
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
: 15:00
VPS
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
: 16:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
: 16:00
Al Riyadh
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
: 16:00
Al Taawon
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 8 October 2026?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.