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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 10 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 10 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford at 47% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#2 Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#3 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#4 League One · England
Wigan
0 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 17%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 60%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
1 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 League One · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#12 League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
1 : 1 FT
Liège
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
4 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#16 League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League One · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 0 FT
Reading
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Championship · England
Wrexham
1 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Championship · England
Stoke City
3 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Derby
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 10 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.