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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 29 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 29 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Leeds vs Swansea at 60% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Leeds
2 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 63% Leeds Clean Sheet 60%
#2 League One Β· England
Birmingham
4 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 65% Birmingham Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
5 : 2 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
BTTS No 59% Baník Ostrava Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 90%
Draw 7%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS No 55% Buriram United Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 14%
Draw 27%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
5 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
5 : 1 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%
#17 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
3 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 29 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Swansea at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.