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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 29 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 29 December 2024. Carrarese vs Cesena led the list at 56% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
2 : 0 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Carrarese Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%
#3 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#10 League One Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#11 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
2 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#14 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#16 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#18 League One Β· England
Exeter City
4 : 4 FT
Crawley Town
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#19 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 29 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Carrarese vs Cesena at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.