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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 23 November 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 November 2024. West Brom vs Norwich led the list at 54% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71% West Brom Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 90%
Draw 7%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 2 FT
Mantova
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 0 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#9 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 62%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#14 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#17 League One Β· England
Wrexham
3 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 League Two Β· England
Notts County
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Sassuolo
4 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by West Brom vs Norwich at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.