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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 15 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 15 September 2024. Botafogo vs Corinthians sits top on 56% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 64% Botafogo Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
4 : 2 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
5 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Palestino
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Lecce
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 0 FT
Tromso
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
5 : 0 FT
Criciuma
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 15 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Corinthians at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.