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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 4 July 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 4 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sligo Rovers vs Derry City at 47% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
3 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
2 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 4 FT
Flamengo
Win 20%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 53%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Criciuma
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 4 July 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs Derry City at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.