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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 30 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 30 March 2024. Valencia vs Mallorca sits top on 56% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Valencia Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 18%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 17%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 3 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
3 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier League · Russia
Baltika
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 26%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 64%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
2 : 3 FT
PAU
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Monza
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
0 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
6 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Ural
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
0 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 4 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 30 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valencia vs Mallorca at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.