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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 17 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 17 February 2024. FC Porto vs Estrela sits top on 59% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
3 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 2 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#7 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#10 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 20%
Draw 30%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
5 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
4 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
5 : 2 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Estrela at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.