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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 17 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 September 2023. Orebro SK vs Skövde AIK led the list at 55% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
5 : 3 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Orebro SK Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 2 FT
Portimonense
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 3 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#8 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
5 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
0 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#18 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#20 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
2 : 3 FT
Forge
Win 23%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 17 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Orebro SK vs Skövde AIK at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.