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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 9 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 9 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Malmo FF vs Mjallby AIF at 53% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 0 FT
Internacional
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 19%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
4 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
4 : 3 FT
Goias
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 0 FT
Valour
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 2 FT
Magallanes
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
5 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 2 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 0 FT
Gais
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
2 : 0 FT
Brann
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
0 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
0 : 0 FT
Valerenga
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 9 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs Mjallby AIF at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.