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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 3 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 3 July 2023. IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF sits top on 45% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
1 : 1 FT
Magallanes
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 3 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
3 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 3 July 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.