Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 11 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 11 May 2023. Palmeiras vs Gremio led the list at 41% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 41% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
4 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
3 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 4 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 5 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 11 May 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Gremio at 41% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.