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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 10 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 10 May 2023. Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense led the list at 45% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 23%
Draw 39%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#5 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 27%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64%
#8 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
2 : 4 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
4 : 3 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
America Mineiro
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 10 May 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.