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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 27 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 27 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Valencia vs Valladolid at 43% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 4 FT
Newcastle
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
4 : 2 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
3 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Championship Β· England
Rotherham
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 27 April 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Valencia vs Valladolid at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.