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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 18 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 18 April 2023. Ipswich vs Port Vale led the list at 54% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS No 56% Ipswich Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One · England
Forest Green
0 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 35%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#7 League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#8 League Two · England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 24%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#10 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
#11 Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#12 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
#16 Championship · England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#18 League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#19 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 18 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Port Vale at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.