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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 10 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 10 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST at 61% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% West Brom Clean Sheet 59%
#3 League Two · England
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 71% Northampton Clean Sheet 57%
#4 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 56%
#5 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 54%
#6 League One · England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Morecambe
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Championship · England
Luton
3 : 1 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#8 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#9 Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Chaves
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#11 League Two · England
Barrow
4 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#13 Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
0 : 0 FT
Girona
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#16 League One · England
Plymouth
0 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 3 FT
Spal
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#18 League Two · England
Colchester
4 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#20 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
2 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 10 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.