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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 8 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 8 April 2023. SC Braga vs Estoril led the list at 59% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 92%
Draw 6%
Win 2%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
Win 61%
Draw 30%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 1 FT
Ionikos
Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
4 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 30%
Draw 42%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 63%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
1 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
6 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 8 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Braga vs Estoril at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.