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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 26 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Twente at 56% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
3 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Khon Kaen United Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 3 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
2 : 3 FT
Osasuna
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 3 FT
Girona
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
0 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 18%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Benevento
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 26 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Twente at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.