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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 25 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 February 2023. AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis sits top on 64% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 17%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 64%
#2 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 67% Bolton Clean Sheet 60%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
3 : 0 FT
Spal
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
4 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
3 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
2 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#8 Championship Β· England
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 League One Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 League Two Β· England
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 3 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
5 : 1 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
2 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#20 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 25 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.