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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 28 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 January 2023. Swindon Town vs Gillingham led the list at 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Swindon Town
3 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Lampang FC
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#13 League One · England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#14 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
3 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
5 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 28 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Swindon Town vs Gillingham at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.