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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 17 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 September 2022. Frosinone vs Palermo sits top on 56% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the clean sheet market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Frosinone Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League Two Β· England
Salford City
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 23%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#6 Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 26%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 3 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
3 : 0 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 15%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
2 : 1 FT
Dijon
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#16 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
3 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 League Two Β· England
Bradford
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Palermo at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.